Watchweek

Markets have plenty to digest this week, from key inflation data and Fed commentary to another closely watched round of corporate earnings, including the mother-of-all reports. While headlines may bring some short-term volatility, our focus remains on the bigger picture: staying disciplined, diversified and aligned with your long-term financial plan. Here’s what’s happening …

  • While there are other companies reporting earnings this week, none is more crucial than NVIDIA’s numbers on Wednesday. This morning, earnings are expected from Intuit, Zoom, and Dick’s Sporting Goods, followed Wednesday by CrowdStrike, Salesforce, Synopsys, Agilent Technologies, Williams-Sonoma, and HP, as well as NVIDIA‘s after-hours numbers. Thursday reports are due from Marvell Technology, Autodesk, Workday, Dollar General, Affirm Holdings, Dollar Tree, and Ulta Beauty, followed by a relatively light Friday. *
  • All eyes are on Wednesday’s inflation report, with the Fed’s preferred measure of inflation, Core PCE (Personal Consumption Expenditures) expected to rise 0.2% in July, up from 0.1% in June. The forecast comes even as some recent data suggests inflation may be easing, with consumer price growth slowing slightly and retail sales showing signs that shoppers are becoming more cautious. If inflation comes in hotter than expected, investors could increase their bets on another Fed rate hike in September. Markets currently see about a 40% chance of that happening. Attention will also turn to the Jackson Hole Symposium, where central bankers gather this week to discuss the economy, and to Fed Chair Kevin Warsh’s speech on Friday for any clues about the Fed’s next move. **
  • California is considering hefty fines for hospitals, insurers, medical groups and other healthcare organizations that exceed the state’s healthcare spending caps. If approved, penalties could reach up to 125% of the amount spent above the annual target, part of the state’s push to slow rising healthcare costs for consumers. The broader goal is to bring spending growth down from 3.5% last year to 3% by 2029, with a few higher-cost hospitals facing even tighter limits. Supporters say the fines are needed to give the rules some teeth and help Californians struggling with premiums and out-of-pocket costs. Hospitals argue the targets are unrealistic and could lead to cuts in services like emergency care, obstetrics and behavioral health. The industry is already challenging the caps in court, so the enforcement fight is likely to intensify if state officials move ahead this week. ***
Miramontes Capital

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